The U.N.-backed commission investigating reports of fraud in Afghanistan’s controversial presidential election is expected to release its highly-anticipated findings Monday.

We just might have a runoff.

Preliminary results indicate President Hamid Karzai leads with 54 percent of the total. But the Electoral Complaints Commission (ECC) could throw out enough fraudulent ballots so that Mr. Karzai’s total dips below 50 percent, most likely forcing a runoff with top challenger Abdullah Abdullah.